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Sat 25 Apr14:00

Tottenham’s exact chances of beating Wolves in must-win game revealed by supercomputer

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Tottenham’s exact chances of beating Wolves in must-win game revealed by supercomputer

At a glance:

  • Tottenham’s chances vs Wolves evaluated
  • A must-win game for De Zerbi
  • Wolves are 20th in the Premier League

Tottenham have five games to save themselves from Premier League relegation as the 2025-26 season draws to a dramatic climax.

Roberto De Zerbi’s arrival has breathed new life into the club, but they have picked up just a point from two games under the Italian.

The performance against Brighton, however, was encouraging, to say the least.

They conceded a late equaliser to walk away with just a point, but most of the players worked their socks off with the possibility of relegation looming large over their heads.

Tottenham’s game against Wolves is a must-win if there ever was one. And now, an Opta supercomputer has evaluated their exact chance of securing all three points on Saturday.

Tottenham given 39% chance of beating Wolves

Tottenham are winless in the Premier League and are in their worst run domestically in nearly 100 years.

Their last Premier League win came against Crystal Palace in December 2025 when a goal from Archie Gray secured them a 1-0 success.

Read More: Sebastian Kehl’s 5 best signings as Tottenham close in on new sporting director

Since then, two managers have been sacked and a lot of things have happened off the pitch that have led to more misery.

However, they still have a chance to save themselves, although they need to get three points on the board vs Wolves.

An Opta supercomputer has given Tottenham a 39.1% chance of securing a win on Saturday, with Wolves’ likelihood marginally lower at 35%.

The likelihood of a draw, meanwhile, is 25.9%, but one point at Molineux will be no good for Tottenham as it won’t really help them climb out of the relegation zone.

Between Tottenham and West Ham now

West Ham are currently two points above Spurs after their 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace.

Read More: Arsenal could be the reason why Tottenham avoid relegation from the Premier League

If Tottenham get three points on Saturday, they can leapfrog the Hammers in the table, although they kick off exactly at the same time vs Everton.

A few weeks ago, Leeds United and Nottingham Forest were also in the race for relegation. However, the two sides have picked up points in recent weeks and look safe for now.

One of Tottenham or West Ham are likely to go down. And if De Zerbi’s side fail to win against Wolves, the possibility of relegation will be as high as it’s ever been.

#TeamPGDPts
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Newcastle UnitedNEW
33-342
15
Leeds UnitedLEE
34-740
16
Nottingham ForestNFO
33-936
17
West Ham UnitedWHU
33-1733
18
Tottenham HotspurTOT
33-1131
19
BurnleyBUR
34-3420
20
Wolverhampton WanderersWOL
33-3717
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Vishal Subramanian is the Managing Editor of Read Tottenham and a seasoned sports journalist with over six years of experience in the Premier League media landscape. Having authored and edited more than 3,000 articles, Vishal has built a reputation for deep tactical analysis and breaking transfer news. He has interviewed some of the game's most influential figures, including Xavi, Jamal Musiala, and Harry Kane. Based in India, Vishal oversees the editorial strategy for Read Tottenham, ensuring every story meets the highest standards of accuracy and insight for the Spurs faithful.

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